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Blog

February 21st, 2019
Five charts and a table that are critical to watch regarding the global economy and markets this year

Key points

  • After a strong rebound since December share markets are at risk of a short-term pull back. However, despite this we see this year as being a decent year for share market returns.
  • Five key global charts to watch as to whether this will be the case are: global business conditions PMIs; global inflation; the US yield curve; the US dollar; and global trade growth.
  • US recession indicators remain ok, but the yield curve is worth watching.
  • So far so good, but the PMIs do need to stabilise soon and the trade threat needs to continue to recede.

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Tony Laycock

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