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Blog

March 19th, 2020
The threat to Australian house prices from coronavirus

Key points

  • The Australian housing market is at risk from the coronavirus recession Australia has now entered.
  • A relatively short recession that sees unemployment rise to around 7.5% would likely only set prices back around 5% or so after which prices would bounce back.
  • But a deeper recession with say 10% unemployment risks tripping up the underlying vulnerability of the housing market around high prices and high debt levels. This could see a 20% fall in prices.
  • This is not our base case, but it highlights the need for the Government & the RBA to minimise the fallout from coronavirus shutdowns in terms of businesses and jobs.

Read More

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Just want to thank you all for the birthday card. It was really appreciated....

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